What the R&D Tax Incentive Data for FY23 Reveals about Company Failure Rates

Blog
November 21, 2025
What the R&D Tax Incentive Data for FY23 Reveals about Company Failure Rates
Author

Alex Simmons — Co-Founder & CEO, Kashcade

Alex has extensive experience in business lending and R&D finance, and has overseen tens of millions in non-dilutive capital funded to Australian startups.

Our latest internal analysis of the Research and Development Tax Incentive (RDTI) program transparency report data for the financial year 2022-2023 delivers a clear and compelling message: the program is working, and it’s keeping Aussie businesses persisting towards innovation for longer.

The headline finding is unequivocal: companies leveraging the RDTI program aren't just innovating; they’re surviving and thriving at rates significantly above the national average.

Why RDTI is Good for Long-term Innovation

The data from our comprehensive RDTI23 research report, which draws on more than 13,000 RDTI claimants, combining ATO, ASIC, LinkedIn, and public data sources, shows that backing innovation is enabling long-term resilience.

Delinquent companies comparison: FY22 vs FY23

The above graph shows us that companies that tapped into the Research and Development Tax Incentive for FY23 fail at a rate of just 1.7%, compared to 14.3% for companies that didn’t participate. That gap is enormous. It means RDTI-backed companies are around 8.5 times less likely to fail, reflecting the stabilising effect that shared risk and sustained investment in innovation can have on a business’ long-term resilience.

This decreased failure rate represents thousands of jobs saved, countless innovative projects underway, and a substantial layer of stability added to the innovation economy.

The fundamental signal: the government’s support for R&D investment critically offsets the financial risk inherent in innovation, allowing companies to share the burden of their innovation and stay in the game for longer. Good onya, RDTI!

Fuel for the Fire: R&D Investment Surges

The strong survival figures are directly correlated with a continued and expanding commitment to research and development across the participant base.

RDTI Investment Growth at a Glance

In FY23, R&D activity under the program was nothing short of massive. According to our internal analysis of the ATO's RDTI Transparency Report FY 22-23:

  • Total R&D Expenditure Claimed: Surged by a massive 42% to an impressive $16.2 billion.
  • Economic Multiplier Effect: Estimated at a significant 3.5:1 (meaning every dollar invested generates $3.50 in economic benefit across Australia).

This growth signals that the RDTI is serving as a reliable mechanism for scaling innovative efforts across Australia and ensuring our technology pipelines remains cutting-edge.

The Engine Room: Early-Stage Companies Lead the Charge

The backbone of this innovation success story is early stage companies. These earlier-stage, more agile companies are often at the forefront of technological breakthroughs, but they face high barriers to funding risky, long-cycle R&D projects.

However, they're a significant driver of participation and growth, proving the incentive is hitting its mark:

Breakdown of participants in the RDTI scheme by company age and expenditure
  1. Early-stage Participation: Companies up to 9 years old account for over 60% of all RDTI participants.
  2. Significant growth: SMEs with less than $10 million in turnover grew their collective R&D expenditure by 9% in FY23 versus FY22.

The refundable credit component of the RDTI is a lifeline for many of these companies, providing the essential cashflow needed to support their innovation efforts. By supporting these smaller players, the program is effectively de-risking the most dynamic segment of the economy.

A Healthy Influx of New Innovations

While 21% of claimants from FY22 did not return in FY23, the program still saw growth - with 29% new claimants from FY22.

Statistics of claimants in 2023 - 79% returned from previous year, 21% did not return and 29% new claimants

Many of these new entrants are heavily concentrated in critical, future-facing areas, showing the RDTI is channelling investment directly into sectors that will define Australia's future competitiveness, namely:

  • Software Development
  • Biotechnology

Sectoral Spotlight: Where Innovation is Hottest

While innovation is a necessity everywhere, three sectors recorded significant jumps in R&D participation (by number of companies) during FY23:

Sector R&D Claim Growth (FY23) Key Focus Areas
Wholesale Trade 22% increase Grocery, machinery and vehicle wholesale traders.
Information Technology 13% increase Digital transformation, cutting-edge software, platform solutions.
Manufacturing 8% increase Process automation, materials science, smart factory technologies.

These sectoral performances suggest that the RDTI isn't a niche tool; it’s a versatile national asset driving technological advancement and economic differentiation across diverse economic pillars.

Conclusion

The RDTI companies show strong survival rates in FY23 – a 98.3% survival rate – is the ultimate validation of the Research and Development Tax Incentive as an essential tool for national economic policy. The program is demonstrably achieving its goal of fostering innovation-led resilience, fuelling investment, empowering the SME sector, and driving technological leadership.

Sustained support for R&D is the most reliable path to creating a stable, high-value, and future-proof economy. By building on this success, we can ensure that the next generation of Aussie innovators continues to transform challenges into opportunities, securing not just high survival rates, but sustained global leadership.

Don’t Just Survive. Accelerate.

The companies showing a 98.3% survival rate are those that consistently invest in their innovative advantage and take advantage of the RDTI scheme. If you want to move faster, hire smarter, and out-develop your competition, you need immediate access to capital. At Kashcade, we can give you your R&D refund within 24hrs, so no more waiting 12 months to receive it from the ATO.

  • Don’t wait for EOFY: Re-invest your R&D refund back into your R&D activities this quarter.
  • Keep your equity: An R&D loan gives you fast access to growth capital to fund your ambitious plans without giving up stakes in your business.
  • Seize the opportunity: Fund that critical pilot program, hire that key engineer, or complete the product build that will define your next year.

Ready to stop waiting and start scaling? Click here to use the Kashcade R&D Funding Calculator and see how much capital you could unlock in 48 hours.

Have questions about your R&D refund or RDTI eligibility? Contact the Kashcade team.

This article is for general information only and does not constitute financial or tax advice. You should seek professional guidance before making funding or RDTI decisions.

About Kashcade

Kashcade is Australia’s fastest R&D lender, providing non-dilutive capital to R&D-intensive startups using their R&D Tax Incentive refunds. Our team includes former R&D tax advisors, commercial lenders and lending infrastructure engineers, and has funded millions in R&D across hundreds of Australian startups.

Reviewed by: Josh Sanders — Head of Customer at Kashcade and Ex-R&D Consultant.

Data Sources
  1. Kashcade's RDTI Research Report
  2. R&D Tax Incentive Transparency Report 2022-23
  3. CSIRO Quantifying Australia's return to innovation